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419,492

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Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Palantir finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$645

$194

 - Polymarket

$194 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:19 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$194

View
100%
79%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$195

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$61
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$191

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$189

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$190

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$185

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$183

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$184

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$186

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$187

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$188

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$192

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$193

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Palantir stock market tracks the current odds of the stock finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price point. You’ll find a price chart displaying the implied probabilities, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $645. The 24-hour volume is also visible, showing $514 in recent trading activity. This allows users to quickly assess market sentiment and participation regarding Palantir’s potential performance.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a strong belief that Palantir will finish the week of October 5 above the threshold price. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a more mixed outlook on the stock's short-term trajectory. While traditional polls and analyst reports rely on subjective assessments, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders willing to put capital behind their predictions. It’s a real-time assessment of probabilities, differing from static analyst ratings.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Palantir finishing the week of October 5 above the specified price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, providing a constantly updated assessment of expectations. Higher demand for shares indicates increasing confidence in a positive outcome, driving up the price and implied probability.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Palantir stock (PLTR) on the Friday of that week will be compared against the threshold price established within the market. The market will then settle based on whether the stock price finished above or below that level. This is a straightforward determination based on publicly available financial data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before its resolution. Major news regarding Palantir's contracts, particularly with government or large enterprise clients, would likely cause a shift in sentiment. Earnings reports or revisions to financial guidance could also have a substantial impact. Broader market trends affecting the technology sector, or overall economic indicators, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or changes in investor risk appetite could also move this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.