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407,043

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Will Palantir (PLTR) close above ___ end of October?
polymarket

Will Palantir close above its price by October 30, 2026?

Volume:
$709

$178

 - Polymarket

$178 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:54 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$178

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$182

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$180

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$184

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$196

View
0%
54%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$390
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$202

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$200

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$186

View
0%
56%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$188

View
0%
74%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$190

View
0%
73%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$198

View
0%
47%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$192

View
0%
61%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$194

View
0%
59%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Palantir stock market tracks the current odds of Palantir (PLTR) closing above a specified price point by the end of October. It displays the implied probability of this occurring, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $709, and the 24-hour volume, which is $535. Users can also view the price history of the market, providing insight into how sentiment has shifted over time. This allows traders to monitor the market's activity and make informed decisions.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a strong belief that Palantir will close above the target price. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which are more divided on the stock's potential performance in the short term. While some analysts maintain a positive outlook, others express concerns about valuation or competitive pressures. It's important to note that prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of traders actively putting capital at risk, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional financial analysis. This market provides a real-time assessment of expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of Palantir closing above the target price by Oct 30, 2026. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, and the current volume of $709 demonstrates active participation.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Palantir (PLTR) stock on the final trading day of October will be assessed against the target price. If the stock closes at or above that price, the market will resolve positively; otherwise, it will resolve negatively. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data and will be determined by the platform's standard procedures for verifying market outcomes.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Palantir regarding new contracts, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause a shift in sentiment. Broader market trends, particularly within the technology sector, could also play a role. Unexpected macroeconomic news, such as changes in interest rates or inflation, could impact investor confidence and affect the stock price. Any significant news related to Palantir’s key competitors could also move this market, as could overall investor risk appetite.