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Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

Oct 26, 2026, 7:57 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$714
Volume 24h:
$60N/A
Liquidity:
$53
72%
Open interest:
$210N/A

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 01h:36m:09s

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

70%chance
Amount

$

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At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 70% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Low liquidity
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polymarket

Will ON Semiconductor (ON) beat quarterly earnings?

Trade
70%
9%
Yes 99¢No 60¢
59¢
$53
$714
9%
N/A
N/A
1h 36m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, ON Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on November 2, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ON Semiconductor’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ON Semiconductor reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ON Semiconductor releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, ON Semiconductor is estimated to release earnings on November 2, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for ON Semiconductor’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if ON Semiconductor reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If ON Semiconductor releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the ON Semiconductor earnings market tracks the current odds of ON Semiconductor beating quarterly earnings, along with a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time. You’ll also find the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $60, and the total volume traded to date, which is $714. This provides a clear view of market sentiment and activity surrounding this specific event. The dashboard is updated frequently to reflect the latest trading activity and insights from the prediction market.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for ON Semiconductor’s earnings. While analysts provide estimates based on financial modeling and company reports, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing interpretations of available information, risk appetite, or access to unique insights. It’s valuable to consider both sources of information when forming your own assessment of whether ON Semiconductor will beat earnings expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of ON Semiconductor beating quarterly earnings, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price dynamically adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a positive earnings report, driven by the collective intelligence of the crowd.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether ON Semiconductor’s reported quarterly earnings per share (EPS) exceed the consensus estimate of financial analysts covering the company. The final price of shares in this market will reflect whether ON Semiconductor successfully beat those earnings expectations, providing a clear outcome based on publicly available financial data.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding ON Semiconductor’s sales figures, supply chain disruptions, or broader semiconductor industry trends could influence trader sentiment. Additionally, revisions to analyst earnings estimates, macroeconomic data releases impacting the tech sector, or even unexpected company announcements could all cause shifts in the odds. Monitoring these factors closely will be key to understanding potential price movements in the ON Semiconductor earnings market.