TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 5 above …?
opinion

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 5 above …?

Volume:
$81

265

 - Opinion

265 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 11:06 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

265

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

205

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

210

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

215

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

220

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

225

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

230

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

235

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

240

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

245

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

250

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

255

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

260

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock market tracks the current odds of the stock finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price. You'll find a price history chart showing how the implied probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $81. The 24-hour volume is $0, providing insight into recent trading activity. This allows users to gauge market sentiment and track how predictions evolve as new information becomes available.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a different outlook than many traditional analyst forecasts for NVIDIA. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, expressing predictions as probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can react more quickly to new information and incorporate a wider range of perspectives than typical analyst reports. This market offers a real-time view of what traders believe, potentially diverging from standard financial analysis.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe NVIDIA will finish the week above the target price, the higher the contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants, constantly adjusting to new information and trading activity.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 5 will be compared to the market’s target price. The market will settle based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome. Traders will then receive payouts based on their positions in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding NVIDIA’s earnings, product announcements (especially around AI chips), or changes in broader market conditions affecting the technology sector could all cause shifts in predictions. Unexpected economic data releases, geopolitical events, or even influential analyst upgrades or downgrades could also move the market. Any information perceived as impacting NVIDIA's future performance has the potential to alter trader sentiment and, consequently, the price action in this market.