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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will NVIDIA finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$2,827

$205

 - Polymarket

$205 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$205

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$210

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$215

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$225

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

View
0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,021
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$235

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$245

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$265

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$255

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of NVIDIA’s potential stock performance. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are often based on fundamental analysis and modeling. While analysts may provide price targets and ratings, this market represents a real-money view of what traders believe will happen. Discrepancies between this market and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or unique insights held by the crowd. It’s important to remember that both approaches offer valuable perspectives, but this market provides a forward-looking, incentivized prediction.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether NVIDIA (NVDA) will finish the week of October 5 above a specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares purchased, the higher the price rises, indicating increased confidence in the outcome. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of traders participating on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on the Friday of that week will be compared against the threshold price outlined in the market. The market will then determine if NVIDIA finished above that price. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized and trusted financial data source, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in company guidance would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic news, such as inflation reports or interest rate decisions, could also impact the stock price and, consequently, this market. Additionally, significant developments in the semiconductor industry or changes in investor sentiment towards technology stocks could play a role. Unexpected news regarding competitors or regulatory changes affecting NVIDIA could also move the market.