TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:15 PM EST
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants on Opinion are expressing their views on NVIDIA’s stock performance. It’s common to see differences between these crowdsourced predictions and traditional analyst forecasts, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. While analysts may focus on fundamental factors, this market reflects real-time speculation and incorporates news, sentiment, and even unexpected events. Comparing these viewpoints can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes for NVIDIA.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether NVIDIA will finish the week of October 26 above the specified price. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the crowd. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the collective wisdom of traders on this platform, and changes based on new information and trading activity. The volume traded provides insight into the level of conviction behind these price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 26 will be compared to the market’s target price. If the closing price is above that level, the market will resolve positively; otherwise, it will resolve negatively. The outcome is determined by publicly available financial data and does not rely on subjective interpretation.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news regarding NVIDIA’s financial performance, such as earnings reports or revenue projections, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends, particularly in the technology sector, and macroeconomic indicators could also play a role. Unexpected announcements about new products, partnerships, or regulatory changes affecting NVIDIA could also move the market. Any significant shifts in investor sentiment towards the company or the semiconductor industry could also influence trading activity and the overall price of this market.