TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above___?
opinion
polymarket

Will NVIDIA finish November 2 above?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,697
Volume 24h:
$2,696N/A
Liquidity:
$10,062
180%
Open interest:
$2,484N/A

$195

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:16m

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 2 above $195?

82%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 84¢ buys you 119 shares | Odds: 82% Total Payout: $119 | Net Profit: $19 Multiplier: 1.19x | ROI: 19% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$195

Trade
82%
1%
Yes 84¢No 21¢
5¢
$529
$1,259
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

195

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
81.5%
Yes 84¢No 21¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
polymarket

$200

72%
Yes 78¢No 34¢
12¢
$722
$1,249
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

200

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
72%
Yes 78¢No 34¢
Avg: 12¢Max: 12¢
polymarket

$205

49%
4%
Yes 52¢No 54¢
6¢
$973
$110
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

205

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
49%
Yes 52¢No 54¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

$215

17%
8%
Yes 21¢No 87¢
8¢
$524
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

215

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
17%
Yes 21¢No 87¢
Avg: 8¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

$220

14%
1%
Yes 21¢No 93¢
14¢
$769
$70
4,349%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

220

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14%
Yes 21¢No 93¢
Avg: 14¢Max: 14¢
polymarket

$210

31%
9%
Yes 37¢No 76¢
13¢
$917
$8
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

210

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 37¢No 76¢
Avg: 13¢Max: 13¢
polymarket

$175

90%
32%
Yes 99.9¢No 19.8¢
19.7¢
$1,457
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

175

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 19.7¢Max: 19.7¢
polymarket

$180

87%
31%
Yes 99¢No 25.7¢
24.7¢
$934
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

180

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 24.7¢Max: 24.7¢
polymarket

$185

88%
31%
Yes 96¢No 20¢
16¢
$501
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

185

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 16¢Max: 16¢
polymarket

$190

86%
5%
Yes 92¢No 21¢
13¢
$531
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

190

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 13¢Max: 13¢
polymarket

$225

10%
2%
Yes 18.9¢No 98.9¢
17.8¢
$804
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

225

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 17.8¢Max: 17.8¢
polymarket

$230

10%
Yes 19.7¢No 99.8¢
19.5¢
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
opinion

230

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 19.5¢Max: 19.5¢
polymarket

$235

9%
40%
Yes 18.7¢No 99.9¢
18.6¢
$801
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 16m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 18.6¢Max: 18.6¢
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

These markets ask whether NVIDIA (NVDA) stock will close above a specified price during the week of November 2nd. The markets rely on the closing price of NVDA as reported by Pyth, with specific fallback mechanisms if Pyth data is unavailable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets utilize the same core resolution logic based on the closing price of NVDA on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd, using Pyth data and defined fallbacks.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of the last minute of regular trading hours.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, the last valid Pyth price or the primary exchange's official closing price will be used.
  • Stock splits or reverse stock splits will be adjusted for using split-adjusted prices from Pyth.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If NVDA does not trade during the regular session on the final trading day, the market will resolve 50-50.
  • Equal Price: If the closing price is exactly equal to the target price, the market will resolve to 'No'.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially incorporating information not readily available in traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on models and reports, this market represents real money at stake, incentivizing traders to incorporate all available information, including sentiment and alternative data. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and biases. It's valuable to compare the implied probability from this market with analyst price targets and ratings to gain a more nuanced understanding of potential NVIDIA stock performance.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock at the close of trading on the week of November 2 will determine whether the market settles in the affirmative or negative. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy for all participants. Traders should monitor market conditions leading up to the resolution date to assess potential impacts.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in market guidance would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader macroeconomic trends, such as interest rate changes or shifts in investor sentiment towards technology stocks, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to key NVIDIA competitors or disruptions in the semiconductor supply chain could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements before Nov 6, 2026.