TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

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4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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63%

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Science and Technology
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above … end of October?
opinion

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above … end of October?

Volume:
$983,522

180

 - Opinion

180 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 11:05 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

180

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$189,386
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

170

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

190

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,336
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

200

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

270

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$261,151
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

240

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$210,804
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

210

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

280

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,080
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

220

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

230

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

260

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

290

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting NVIDIA (NVDA), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which NVIDIA (NVDA) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the NVIDIA stock price market tracks the current odds of NVIDIA closing above a specified price by Oct 30, 2026. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the implied probabilities have shifted over time, along with the total volume traded in this market, currently at $983,522, and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This allows you to see how traders are reacting to news and events affecting NVIDIA’s stock performance and gauge the collective prediction.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts provide price targets based on financial modeling, this market reflects real-money predictions, incentivizing participants to be as accurate as possible. Discrepancies between the implied probability in this market and analyst recommendations can highlight areas of disagreement or differing assumptions about NVIDIA’s future performance. It's a valuable data point to consider alongside conventional financial analysis.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether NVIDIA will close above the target price. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the price will close above the target, the higher the contract price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aggregates the diverse perspectives of market participants into a single, quantifiable forecast.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on the final trading day of October will be checked against the target price established for this market. The resolution will be based on official exchange data and widely available financial news sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Several key signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from NVIDIA regarding earnings, new product launches, or changes in market share would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, such as inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor sentiment towards tech stocks like NVIDIA. Unexpected news related to competitors, supply chain disruptions, or regulatory changes could also move this market. Monitoring these factors will provide insights into the evolving probabilities reflected in the trading activity.