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413,109

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Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Netflix finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$7,017

$20

 - Polymarket

$20 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:17 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$1,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$2,635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$2,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$30

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$222
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$70

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$40

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$80

View
0%
19%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$90

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$120

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$130

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$110

View
0%
20%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Netflix (NFLX) finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price point. You’ll find a real-time view of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $3,296. Total volume for this market is $7,017. This provides a clear picture of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different outcomes and how actively the market is being traded.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a strong belief that Netflix will finish the week of October 5 above the threshold price. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a more mixed outlook, with some predicting moderate growth and others expressing concerns about subscriber numbers. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are based on models and assumptions, while this market reflects the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. The market offers a different data point for evaluating potential outcomes.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Netflix will finish the week of October 5 above the specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought, the higher the price goes, and vice versa, creating a dynamic and responsive market. This allows for a real-time assessment of market sentiment based on actual trading activity.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Netflix (NFLX) stock on the Friday of that week will be compared to the threshold price to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the 'above' outcome or not. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source to ensure accuracy and transparency. This provides a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 9, 2026. Major catalysts include Netflix’s quarterly earnings report, any significant news regarding subscriber growth or retention, and broader market trends affecting the technology sector. Unexpected announcements about new content releases or strategic partnerships could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, macroeconomic factors like interest rate changes or shifts in investor risk appetite could play a role, potentially leading to increased or decreased trading volume and shifts in the implied probability reflected in this market.