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Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above___?
polymarket

Will Netflix finish the week of October 12 above?

Oct 9, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$15,771
Volume 24h:
$5,485
28%
Liquidity:
$14,451
448%
Open interest:
$2,006N/A

$40

 - Polymarket

$40 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $40?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$40

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$2,629
$220
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$120

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,368
$25
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$80

Trade
0%
95%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,363
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$100

Trade
0%
100%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,363
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$110

Trade
0%
25%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,363
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$130

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,365
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$70

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$10

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,050
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$20

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$30

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$60

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$90

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix stock price market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing in the likelihood of Netflix finishing the week of October 12 above a certain price point. The dashboard also displays the total volume traded on this market, currently at $15,771, and the 24-hour volume, which is $5,485. This provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding Netflix’s stock performance.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Netflix. While analysts provide price targets based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects what traders are willing to bet on happening. Discrepancies can arise from differing interpretations of information, risk tolerance, or access to non-public data. It's interesting to consider how the probabilities implied by this market align with or diverge from the consensus expectations of financial analysts covering Netflix.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Netflix will finish the week of October 12 above a specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing sentiment. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential stock performance.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing stock price of Netflix (NFLX) on the Friday of the week of October 12 will be used to determine if the market resolves in the affirmative or negative. The resolution will be based on a widely recognized financial data source, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major company announcements from Netflix, such as earnings reports or subscriber growth figures, would likely cause substantial price movement. Broader market trends, including overall economic conditions and investor sentiment towards the tech sector, could also play a role. Unexpected news related to Netflix’s content library, competition from other streaming services, or regulatory changes could also shift the probabilities reflected in this market. Any significant event impacting Netflix’s perceived future performance could drive trading activity.