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Will Netflix (NFLX) close above ___ end of October?
polymarket

Will Netflix close above its price by October 30, 2026?

Volume:
$7,896

$60

 - Polymarket

$60 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:51 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$60

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,567
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$30

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$95
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$40

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$50

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$70

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$90

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$650
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$130

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$80

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$110

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$120

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Netflix stock market tracks the current odds of Netflix (NFLX) closing above a certain price point by the end of October. You’ll find a price chart reflecting trader sentiment, as well as the 24-hour volume, currently at $597, and the total volume traded to date, which is $7,896. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of different outcomes for the stock price, offering a dynamic perspective on market expectations.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a strong belief that Netflix will close above a specific price by Oct 30, 2026. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a more mixed outlook on Netflix’s performance. While some analysts anticipate continued growth, others express concerns about increasing competition and subscriber saturation. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts are based on models and assumptions, whereas this market reflects the collective judgment of traders willing to put capital behind their beliefs.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Netflix (NFLX) stock on the final trading day of October will be checked against the target price. If the stock closes at or above that price, the market will resolve as 'yes'; otherwise, it will resolve as 'no'. Traders should monitor official financial news sources for the final closing price to understand the resolution.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major catalysts include Netflix’s quarterly earnings reports, any significant announcements regarding subscriber growth or content releases, and broader macroeconomic trends affecting the technology sector. Unexpected news about competitors like Disney+ or Amazon Prime Video could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, changes in interest rates or overall market volatility could influence investor risk appetite and, consequently, the price of Netflix stock and the odds in this market.