TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 5 above …?
opinion

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 5 above …?

Volume:
$86

460

 - Opinion

460 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 11:01 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

460

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$86
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

470

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

480

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

490

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

520

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

530

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

540

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

550

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

560

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

570

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

580

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of the stock finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price. You’ll find a visual representation of where traders are placing their bets, along with the price history showing how those probabilities have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $86. This provides a snapshot of market activity and sentiment surrounding Microsoft's potential performance.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of Microsoft finishing the week of October 5 above the target price. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the event will occur, the higher the price of the contracts will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and collective sentiment.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft stock on the Friday of that week will be compared to the target price. If the stock closes above the price, the market will resolve positively; otherwise, it will resolve negatively. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from a recognized financial exchange, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding Microsoft, such as earnings reports, product announcements, or significant partnerships, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment towards tech stocks, including Microsoft. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in the overall market trend could also move this market. Any information that alters perceptions of Microsoft's future performance has the potential to change the odds and trading volume.