TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 26 above …?
opinion

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 26 above …?

Volume:
$0

460

 - Opinion

460 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 11:13 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

460

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

470

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

480

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

490

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

500

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

510

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

520

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

530

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

540

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

550

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

560

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

570

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

580

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Microsoft (MSFT) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Microsoft (MSFT), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Microsoft (MSFT) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock market tracks the current odds of Microsoft (MSFT) finishing the week of October 26 above a certain price point. You’ll find the implied probability of each outcome, a price history chart showing how the market has moved over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0. Total volume for this market is $0. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Microsoft’s stock performance.

On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Microsoft’s stock will finish the week of October 26 above the target price. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe the event will occur, the higher the price of the 'yes' contracts, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 26 will be compared to the target price defined within the market. If the closing price is above the target, the 'yes' outcome will prevail; otherwise, the 'no' outcome will be determined. The resolution will be based on standard financial data sources and widely accepted market practices.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major news regarding Microsoft, such as earnings reports, product announcements, or significant partnerships, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, including interest rate changes or overall market sentiment, could also play a role. Unexpected geopolitical events or industry-specific disruptions could also impact investor confidence and, consequently, the price of Microsoft stock. Any developments that alter the perceived future performance of Microsoft are likely to move this market.