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Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 12 above___?
polymarket

Will Microsoft finish October 16 above?

Oct 9, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Oct 16, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$6,785
Volume 24h:
$2,408
42%
Liquidity:
$21,857
34%
Open interest:
$426N/A

$480

 - Polymarket

$480 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 16, 2026

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of October 12 above $480?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$480

Trade
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$2,513
$70
40%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$470

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$2,370
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$500

Trade
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$2,366
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$490

Trade
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
$2,371
$45
80%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$540

Trade
0%
42%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,676
$145
303%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$550

Trade
0%
31%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,495
$130
30%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$560

Trade
0%
98%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,362
$30
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$580

Trade
0%
94%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,363
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$590

Trade
0%
97%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$2,341
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

$510

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$520

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,995
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$530

View
0%
85%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$600
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$570

View
0%
95%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Microsoft (MSFT) finishing the week of October 12 above a certain price. You’ll find a dynamic price reflecting trader sentiment, a history of how the market has priced over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,408. The total volume traded on this market is $6,785, indicating the level of interest in this prediction. This allows users to gauge market confidence and track changes in expectations.

Currently, the collective wisdom of traders in this market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for Microsoft’s stock performance. While analysts often provide point estimates or ranges, this market aggregates diverse opinions into a probabilistic forecast. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors. It’s important to remember that both approaches have limitations, and this market represents a forward-looking assessment based on real-money incentives.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Microsoft will finish the week of October 12 above the specified price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price movements are driven by new information, shifts in sentiment, and trading activity, offering a real-time assessment of expectations. Higher demand for shares increases the price, indicating greater confidence in a positive outcome.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Microsoft (MSFT) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 12 will be compared to the market’s threshold. The market will resolve to 100% if the stock price is above the threshold, and 0% if it is below. Resolution relies on publicly available financial data and does not involve any subjective judgment calls.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 16, 2026. Major company announcements from Microsoft, such as earnings reports or product launches, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also influence investor sentiment towards tech stocks. Unexpected geopolitical events or significant shifts in market trends could also move this market. Any news that alters perceptions of Microsoft’s future performance has the potential to shift trader beliefs and impact the price of shares in this market.