TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 2 above___?
polymarket

Will Microsoft finish above?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$4,187
Volume 24h:
$2,945
6,034%
Liquidity:
$9,629
115%
Open interest:
$3,640N/A

$490

 - Polymarket

$490 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:24m

Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of November 2 above $490?

78%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 83¢ buys you 120 shares | Odds: 78% Total Payout: $120 | Net Profit: $20 Multiplier: 1.20x | ROI: 20% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$490

Trade
78%
12%
Yes 83¢No 28¢
11¢
$325
$305
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$500

Trade
70%
Yes 75¢No 36¢
11¢
$1,090
$2,213
225%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$470

Trade
67%
Yes 97.5¢No 64.2¢
61.7¢
$697
$25
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$530

Trade
13%
21%
Yes 15¢No 90¢
5¢
$630
$1,383
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$570

Trade
9%
40%
Yes 16.8¢No 99.7¢
16.5¢
$1,120
$20
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$540

Trade
12%
4%
Yes 18¢No 94¢
12¢
$628
$207
1%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$580

Trade
10%
40%
Yes 19.5¢No 99.8¢
19.3¢
$1,235
$30
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$560

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 18.6¢No 99.3¢
17.9¢
$1,032
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$550

Trade
10%
Yes 18.7¢No 99.6¢
18.3¢
$1,173
$2
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$460

Trade
73%
Yes 98.8¢No 53.3¢
52.1¢
$627
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$480

Trade
87%
5%
Yes 94.7¢No 19.8¢
14.5¢
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$510

Trade
46%
29%
Yes 58¢No 67¢
25¢
$518
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
polymarket

$520

Trade
27%
Yes 31¢No 77¢
8¢
$323
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 24m
Active
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MSFT%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Microsoft stock price market tracks the current implied probability of Microsoft (MSFT) finishing the week of November 2 above a certain price point. You’ll find a visual representation of the odds, a price history chart showing how the market has traded over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $3,280. The total volume traded in this market is $4,187. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and activity surrounding the future price of Microsoft stock.

Currently, this market reflects a strong belief that Microsoft’s stock price will finish the week of November 2 above the prevailing threshold. This contrasts with some analyst forecasts, which present a wider range of potential outcomes. While traditional polls and analyst reports rely on subjective assessments, this market aggregates the collective wisdom of traders willing to put their capital at risk. The market’s price is a real-time indicator of what participants believe, offering a potentially more accurate signal than static predictions.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of Microsoft finishing the week of November 2 above the specified price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and reflects the latest sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the closing stock price of Microsoft (MSFT) on the Friday of that week. If the closing price is above the threshold defined in the market, the 'yes' shares will pay out one unit, while 'no' shares will be worth zero. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent, relying on publicly available data.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major announcements from Microsoft regarding earnings, new product launches, or significant partnerships could all move the price. Broader economic news, such as interest rate decisions or inflation reports, could also impact investor sentiment towards tech stocks like Microsoft. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in market trends could also play a role. Any news that alters the perceived future prospects of Microsoft is likely to be reflected in the trading activity of this market.