TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above___?
polymarket

Will Micron finish the week of October 5 above?

Volume:
$23,988

$1,020

 - Polymarket

$1,020 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 4:38 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1,020

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$4,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1,010

100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1,100

0%
3%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,103
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,090

0%
4%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,080

0%
7%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,861
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,030

0%
61%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,060

0%
69%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,110

0%
16%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,070

0%
9%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$665
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,040

0%
92%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,050

0%
71%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,120

0%
3%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1,130

0%
4%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Micron stock price market tracks the current odds of the market resolving above a certain price point, along with the price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $6,582, and the total volume traded to date, which is $23,988. This provides a clear overview of how traders are assessing the likelihood of Micron’s stock performance during the specified week. The dashboard is a central location for monitoring activity in this market.

Currently, the implied probability from this market suggests a strong belief that Micron’s stock will finish the week of October 5 above a certain level. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often present a range of potential outcomes and may not fully capture the collective wisdom of the crowd. While analyst reports provide fundamental analysis, this market reflects real-money sentiment and a dynamic assessment of various factors influencing the stock price. It’s important to consider both perspectives when forming an informed opinion on Micron’s future performance.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where participants buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Micron’s stock will finish the week of October 5 above a specific price. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and changing perspectives among traders. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to forecast the stock’s future performance.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing stock price of Micron (MU) on the Friday of that week will be assessed against the market’s threshold. The determination will be based on publicly available financial data from established sources. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or acknowledge their losses based on the final result. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Unexpected earnings reports from Micron, broader macroeconomic news affecting the semiconductor industry, or significant announcements regarding technological advancements could all shift trader sentiment. Changes in analyst ratings or major shifts in investor confidence could also drive price movements. Additionally, any news related to supply chain disruptions or geopolitical events impacting the technology sector could influence the outcome of this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds.