TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above___?
opinion
polymarket

Will Micron finish November 6 above?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$6,567
Volume 24h:
$6,557N/A
Liquidity:
$10,276
44%
Open interest:
$6,558N/A

$830

 - Polymarket

$830 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:19h:09m

Will Micron (MU) finish week of November 2 above $830?

64%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 70¢ buys you 143 shares | Odds: 64% Total Payout: $143 | Net Profit: $43 Multiplier: 1.43x | ROI: 43% APY not meaningful Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$830

Trade
64%
24%
Yes 70¢No 43¢
13¢
$627
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$840

Trade
56%
25%
Yes 58¢No 47¢
5¢
$559
$609
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$860

Trade
48%
29%
Yes 56¢No 60¢
16¢
$646
$577
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$870

Trade
42%
24%
Yes 45¢No 62¢
7¢
$745
$1,691
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↓ 870

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Yes
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41.5%
Yes 45¢No 62¢
Avg: 7¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

$890

Trade
28%
28%
Yes 30¢No 75¢
5¢
$782
$100
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$900

Trade
23%
31%
Yes 26¢No 80¢
6¢
$753
$28
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 900

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23%
Yes 26¢No 80¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

$910

Trade
20%
31%
Yes 24¢No 85¢
9¢
$517
$67
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$920

Trade
16%
32%
Yes 18¢No 87¢
5¢
$919
$103
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$930

Trade
12%
24%
Yes 15¢No 91¢
6¢
$1,036
$89
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 930

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12%
Yes 15¢No 91¢
Avg: 6¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

$940

Trade
10%
24%
Yes 13¢No 93¢
6¢
$1,070
$1,727
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$950

Trade
9%
18%
Yes 11¢No 93¢
4¢
$853
$1,374
27,383%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$850

Trade
48%
29%
Yes 57¢No 62¢
19¢
$623
$75
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
polymarket

$880

Trade
37%
28%
Yes 46¢No 73¢
19¢
$1,146
$122
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 1,080

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 1,050

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 1,020

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 990

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↑ 960

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↓ 810

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↓ 780

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↓ 750

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
opinion

↓ 720

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 19h 9m
Active
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

These markets ask whether the stock price of Micron Technology (MU) will finish the week of November 2nd above various price thresholds. Resolution depends on the closing price of MU as reported by Pyth, with fallback mechanisms to primary exchange data if Pyth data is unavailable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets utilize the same core resolution logic based on the closing price of Micron (MU) on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd, relying on Pyth data and a defined fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of Micron (MU) as published by Pyth.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, the official closing price from the primary exchange will be used.
  • A closing price equal to the target price results in a 'No' resolution.
  • Markets resolve 50-50 if Micron does not trade during the regular session of the final trading day.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Stock Splits: In the event of a stock split or reverse stock split, prices will be adjusted proportionally as displayed on Pyth.
  • Shortened Trading Session: If the trading session is shortened (e.g., due to a holiday), the Pyth 'Close' value of the final minute of the shortened session will be used.
  • No Valid Pyth Close: If no valid Pyth Close value exists for the final minute, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours will be used. If no valid Pyth price exists, the primary exchange's official closing price will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of regular trading hours on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.MU%2FUSD.

Opinion

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Micron (MU) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Micron (MU), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Micron (MU) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MU/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Micron (MU) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more real-time and aggregated assessment of future events than traditional analyst forecasts. Analyst opinions can be influenced by biases or institutional pressures, whereas prediction markets incentivize participants to express their honest beliefs, as profitability depends on accurate predictions. While analyst forecasts provide valuable insights, this market offers a dynamic, incentive-driven perspective on the potential movement of the Micron stock price. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of Micron (MU) stock at the close of trading on the week of November 2 will be used to determine whether the market resolves in favor of the outcome that the stock price finished above the specified level. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major news related to Micron, such as earnings reports, product announcements, or changes in industry forecasts, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact the stock's performance. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in investor sentiment towards the semiconductor industry could also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on potential price movements in this market.