TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Marriott (MAR) Q3 worldwide RevPAR be above __?
polymarket

Will Marriott's Q3 RevPAR be above?

Volume:
$6,506

$135.5

 - Polymarket

$135.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 2, 2026

Closed: Nov 2, 9:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$135.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,037
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$132.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$137

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,227
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$134

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$138.5

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marriott's worldwide comparable systemwide international properties RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marriott's worldwide comparable systemwide international properties RevPAR (Revenue Per Available Room) for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Marriott RevPAR market tracks the current odds of whether Marriott's Q3 worldwide RevPAR will exceed a certain threshold. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $967. The total volume traded on this market is $6,506. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Marriott’s financial performance.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares indicating they believe RevPAR will be above the threshold, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is driven entirely by supply and demand from traders on Polymarket.

This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Q3 worldwide RevPAR figure for Marriott is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported RevPAR data released by Marriott International, Inc. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Polymarket following the official announcement. This market provides a way to forecast and profit from this key financial metric.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Marriott’s booking trends, occupancy rates, or average daily rates could shift trader sentiment. Broader economic indicators, such as consumer spending data or travel industry reports, will also be closely watched. Unexpected events impacting the travel sector, like geopolitical instability or a resurgence of health concerns, could also cause substantial price movements in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on changing expectations.