TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 7:32 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Linde's sales for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Linde's sales for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, are above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast from a diverse group of traders. This differs from traditional analyst forecasts, which are typically generated by a smaller number of experts. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential blind spots in conventional analysis regarding Linde’s Q3 sales performance. This market represents a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ approach to forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of Linde’s Q3 sales exceeding the specified level. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market stays responsive to changing expectations regarding Linde’s financial results.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Linde Q3 sales figures are released and verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported sales data, determining whether Linde’s Q3 sales were above or below the specified threshold. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news related to Linde's performance, such as preliminary earnings reports, industry trends, or macroeconomic indicators impacting chemical companies, could cause significant price movement. Unexpected announcements regarding supply chain disruptions, raw material costs, or major customer contracts could also shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, broader market volatility or changes in investor risk appetite could indirectly affect trading activity in this market, influencing the odds until Oct 29, 2026.