TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above __?
polymarket

Will Google's Q3 revenue be above?

Volume:
$6,481

$67B

 - Polymarket

$67B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 6:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$67B

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$66B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$64B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$68B

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,054
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$65B

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Search & other revenue for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Search & other revenue for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Google Q3 revenue market tracks the current odds of whether Google’s Q3 Search & other revenue will exceed a certain threshold. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the market has priced in this possibility over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,780. The total volume traded to date is $6,481. This provides a clear view of market sentiment and activity surrounding Google's upcoming earnings report.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than many traditional analyst forecasts for Google's Q3 revenue. While some analysts predict a conservative growth rate, this market's pricing suggests traders are assigning a higher probability to a stronger financial performance. It's important to remember that prediction markets represent the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially incorporating information not readily available in standard financial models. This difference in outlook is a key aspect to consider when evaluating this market.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of Google’s Q3 Search & other revenue being above the specified level. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market's depth and liquidity are determined by the number of buyers and sellers actively trading.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official revenue figures released by Google in its Q3 earnings report. The reported Search & other revenue will be compared to the threshold defined within the market to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome prevails. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified results.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Google's advertising revenue, particularly concerning search trends or market share, would be a key driver. Macroeconomic data releases, such as overall economic growth or consumer spending figures, could also influence expectations for Google’s performance. Additionally, announcements from Google itself, including pre-earnings guidance or major product launches, could cause substantial shifts in the market's pricing. Unexpected competition or regulatory changes could also play a role.