TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:03 PM EST
Opinion
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Google (GOOGL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Google (GOOGL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Google (GOOGL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Google (GOOGL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Google (GOOGL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Google (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Google (GOOGL) trades governs.
Currently, prediction market participants believe there is a chance that Google will finish the week of October 5 above the target price. This contrasts with typical analyst forecasts, which often rely on financial modeling and company reports. While analysts provide detailed reports and price targets, this market represents the collective wisdom of individuals incentivized to make accurate predictions. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas where the market perceives information differently than traditional financial analysis, or where traders have access to unique insights.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of Google finishing the week of October 5 above the specified level. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe the event will occur, the higher the price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Google (GOOGL) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 5 will be compared to the target price. The market will settle based on this publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major news announcements related to Google, such as earnings reports, new product launches, or regulatory decisions, are likely to cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate changes, could also influence investor sentiment towards tech stocks. Unexpected events, such as geopolitical developments or shifts in market trends, could also move this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade or analyze the Google stock market.