TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.8b
24H VOL:
$153,964,051
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,815,744,871
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,809,858,743
498,684
Markets across
37,244
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,831
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:27 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if GE Aerospace's adjusted revenue for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is GE Aerospace's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if GE Aerospace's adjusted revenue for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is GE Aerospace's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects expectations regarding GE Aerospace’s financial performance. It's important to note that prediction market odds represent the collective wisdom of traders, which may differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts provide individual opinions, this market aggregates diverse perspectives into a single, quantifiable probability. Comparing this market’s implied probability to consensus analyst estimates for GE Aerospace’s Q3 revenue can reveal potential discrepancies and insights into market sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Q3 adjusted revenue figures for GE Aerospace are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the reported revenue figures released by GE Aerospace, as determined by generally accepted accounting principles. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their shares correspond to the correct outcome—whether GE Aerospace’s revenue exceeded the target or not. The final outcome will be publicly available following the official announcement.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any significant news regarding GE Aerospace’s performance, such as updates on aircraft orders, supply chain issues, or broader economic conditions affecting the aerospace industry, could impact trader sentiment. Additionally, announcements from competitors or changes in analyst ratings for GE Aerospace stock could also shift the odds. Unexpected macroeconomic data releases or geopolitical events could also indirectly affect this market, as they might influence overall market risk appetite and investor confidence.