Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings? Odds & Prediction Markets

Name: Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
Start: 2026-10-16T16:41:06.000Z
End: 2026-10-29T21:00:00.000Z

Description

As of market creation, Coursera is estimated to release earnings on October 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Coursera’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.18 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coursera reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.18 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Coursera releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Coursera is estimated to release earnings on October 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Coursera’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.18 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Coursera reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.18 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Coursera releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a strong likelihood that Coursera will beat quarterly earnings. This contrasts with traditional analyst forecasts, which often present a range of expectations. While analysts consider various financial models and industry trends, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies between prediction market probabilities and analyst expectations can sometimes indicate areas where the market perceives information differently or anticipates surprises not yet factored into conventional analyses.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Coursera will beat quarterly earnings. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market's aggregate expectation, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings by taking opposing positions.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Coursera’s reported quarterly earnings exceed analyst expectations as determined by a widely recognized financial news source. The exact definition of 'beat quarterly earnings' will be based on standard financial reporting practices and will be publicly available prior to resolution. Traders should monitor official announcements from Coursera and reputable financial news outlets as the resolution date approaches.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Unexpected news regarding Coursera’s enrollment numbers, changes in key performance indicators, or announcements about new partnerships could all influence trader sentiment. Broader economic trends, such as shifts in the edtech sector or overall market volatility, might also play a role. Furthermore, any revisions to analyst estimates for Coursera’s earnings could trigger price adjustments in this market as traders reassess the probabilities.

Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?

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