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Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above __?
polymarket

Will Citigroup's Q3 credit losses be above?

Volume:
$8,102

$2.2B

 - Polymarket

$2.2B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 13, 2026

Closed: Oct 13, 10:03 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$2.2B

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,909
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$2.4B

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$2.6B

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$3.0B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2.8B

View
0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,269
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Citigroup's provision for credit losses for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The company trades under the ticker C as of the creation of this market. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Citigroup's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Citigroup's provision for credit losses for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The company trades under the ticker C as of the creation of this market. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Citigroup's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, the odds in this market reflect a collective prediction about Citigroup’s Q3 credit loss provisions. These odds can be compared with forecasts from financial analysts covering Citigroup. If analysts, on average, predict a higher provision than what is priced into this market, it suggests traders may be more conservative in their expectations. Conversely, if analysts predict a lower provision, it indicates traders believe there's a greater chance of a larger loss. It’s important to note that prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and sentiment than traditional analyst reports.

This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Citigroup officially reports its Q3 earnings and the provision for credit losses is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the actual amount Citigroup reports, determining whether it exceeds the threshold defined within the market itself. Traders will then be paid out based on their holdings in shares representing the correct outcome. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on publicly available data.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding Citigroup’s loan portfolio performance, particularly in sectors sensitive to economic downturns, would be closely watched. Macroeconomic data releases, such as GDP growth, inflation rates, and unemployment figures, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected regulatory changes impacting financial institutions or specific credit risk policies could also shift the odds. Finally, any statements from Citigroup’s management regarding their outlook on credit quality or potential provisions could have a substantial impact on this market.