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Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above __?
polymarket

Will BAC's Q3 credit loss provision be above?

Volume:
$6,400

$1.2B

 - Polymarket

$1.2B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 14, 2026

Closed: Oct 14, 8:46 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$1.2B

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,164
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$1.5B

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,352
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.6B

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.4B

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1.3B

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bank of America's provision for credit losses for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Bank of America's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bank of America's provision for credit losses for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Bank of America's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bank of America credit loss market tracks the current odds that Bank of America’s Q3 provision for credit losses will be above a specified threshold. You can view the probability of different outcomes, the 24-hour trading volume of $1,367, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $6,400. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity related to Bank of America’s financial performance. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the prediction market is assessing the risk of increased credit losses.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability that Bank of America’s Q3 provision for credit losses will exceed the threshold. This differs from some initial analyst forecasts, which predicted a more moderate increase. However, it’s important to note that analyst estimates are often revised closer to the earnings release date, and this market reflects a continuously updated assessment based on collective intelligence. Comparing prediction market odds to the range of analyst expectations provides a valuable perspective on potential outcomes and market confidence.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Bank of America’s Q3 provision for credit losses will be above the specified amount. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the market gets to the earnings release date, the more the price will fluctuate as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest insights.

This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Bank of America Q3 earnings report is released and the provision for credit losses is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the actual amount reported by Bank of America, determining whether it exceeds the threshold specified in the market question. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout proportional to their shareholding, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding changes in the macroeconomic environment, such as interest rate hikes or economic slowdowns, could influence expectations for credit losses. Furthermore, announcements from Bank of America regarding their loan portfolio performance or forward-looking guidance would be key catalysts. Unexpected regulatory changes or significant events affecting specific sectors Bank of America lends to could also move the market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the odds before Oct 14, 2026.