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Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 2 above___?
opinion
polymarket

Will Apple finish November 2 above?

Oct 30, 2026, 6:00 PM EST - Nov 6, 2026, 4:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$28,030
Volume 24h:
$26,692N/A
Liquidity:
$8,860
63%
Open interest:
$1,392N/A

$315

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 6, 2026

Time left: 03d:12h:56m

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 2 above $315?

71%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 71% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% High Projected APY: 1,067% Low liquidity 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$315

Trade
71%
20%
Yes 98¢No 57¢
55¢
$770
$471
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

315

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
70.5%
Yes 98¢No 57¢
Avg: 55¢Max: 55¢
polymarket

$320

Trade
65%
21%
Yes 94¢No 65¢
59¢
$680
$371
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

320

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
64.5%
Yes 94¢No 65¢
Avg: 59¢Max: 59¢
polymarket

$360

Trade
25%
4%
Yes 25¢No 87.5¢
—
$453
$141
74%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

360

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 25¢No 87.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

$365

Trade
23%
6%
Yes 15¢No 92.5¢
—
$560
$102
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

365

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23%
Yes 15¢No 92.5¢
Avg: —Max: —
polymarket

$375

Trade
10%
3%
Yes 20¢No 99.9¢
19.9¢
$1,414
$32
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

375

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.1%
Yes 20¢No 99.9¢
Avg: 19.9¢Max: 19.9¢
polymarket

$325

Trade
60%
23%
Yes 92¢No 73¢
65¢
$579
$200
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

325

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 92¢No 73¢
Avg: 65¢Max: 65¢
opinion

345

Trade
52%
Yes 52¢No 48¢
—
N/A
$26,632
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
polymarket

$345

Trade
35%
16%
Yes 64¢No 95¢
59¢
$525
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 52¢No 48¢
Avg: 59¢Max: 59¢
polymarket

$330

Trade
52%
23%
Yes 86¢No 82¢
68¢
$594
$80
0%
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

330

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 86¢No 82¢
Avg: 68¢Max: 68¢
polymarket

$335

Trade
47%
21%
Yes 81¢No 88¢
69¢
$640
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

335

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 69¢Max: 69¢
polymarket

$340

Trade
41%
19%
Yes 74¢No 93¢
67¢
$769
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

340

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 67¢Max: 67¢
polymarket

$350

Trade
26%
14%
Yes 50¢No 99¢
49¢
$550
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

350

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 49¢Max: 49¢
polymarket

$355

Trade
20%
8%
Yes 38¢No 99¢
37¢
$843
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
opinion

355

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 37¢Max: 37¢
polymarket

$370

Trade
20%
10%
Yes 20¢No 90¢
—
$483
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3d 12h 56m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: —Max: —
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

These markets ask whether Apple's (AAPL) stock price will finish the week of November 2nd above a specified threshold. Resolution hinges on the closing price of AAPL as reported by Pyth, with specific fallback mechanisms if Pyth data is unavailable.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Opinion markets utilize the same resolution source (Pyth) and logic for determining whether Apple's stock price exceeds a given threshold at the end of the week of November 2nd.Primary resolution logic: Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD)

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the 'Close' price of AAPL on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd.
  • The 'Close' price is sourced from Pyth, specifically the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours.
  • If Pyth data is unavailable, a defined fallback mechanism exists using the last valid Pyth price or the official closing price from the primary exchange.
  • A stock split will be accounted for with split-adjusted prices from Pyth.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • No Trading: If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
  • Equal Price: If the closing price is exactly equal to the target price, the market will resolve to 'No'.
  • Pyth Failure: If Pyth data is unavailable, the last valid Pyth price during regular trading hours will be used. If no valid Pyth price exists, the official closing price from the primary exchange will be used.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the close of regular trading hours on the final trading day of the week of November 2nd, once the closing price is confirmed from Pyth or the primary exchange.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Apple (AAPL) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Apple (AAPL) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Apple (AAPL), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Apple (AAPL) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Opinion, this market tracks predictions on whether Apple (AAPL) will finish the week of November 2 above a certain price. The dashboard aggregates trading volume and implied probabilities from both platforms to provide a consensus view of expectations. Currently, total volume across both venues is $28,030, with $405 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of the crowd assesses the likelihood of different price outcomes for the Apple stock price market. The dashboard is updated in real-time as traders buy and sell shares.

Prediction market odds often represent a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts rely on fundamental and technical analysis, this market reflects what traders are willing to bet on, incorporating a wider range of information and anticipating potential surprises. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and biases. It's valuable to consider both prediction market probabilities and analyst opinions when forming a comprehensive view of Apple’s potential performance.

Polymarket and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Opinion may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market sentiment. Polymarket might attract a different type of trader than Opinion, leading to differing opinions on the future price of Apple stock. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, a large trade on Polymarket could shift the price there, while Opinion might react more slowly. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies in this market.

This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Apple stock price at the close of trading on the final day of the week of November 2 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be sourced from a widely recognized financial data provider. Traders will then be able to see whether their predictions aligned with the actual market performance, and payouts will be distributed accordingly based on the final outcome.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before Nov 6, 2026. Major Apple product announcements, earnings reports, or unexpected news regarding the broader economic climate could all trigger price movements. Shifts in investor sentiment towards technology stocks, changes in interest rates, or geopolitical events could also play a role. Any news impacting Apple’s financial outlook or competitive position will likely be reflected in the trading activity and, therefore, the odds within this market.