TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Volume:
$31,607

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

 - Polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 4:53 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 4w 1d
No
Total markets: 1

Description

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026, with a second round on November 1, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than half of the valid votes in the first round, or if a candidate secures more than half of the valid votes but voter turnout is not more than half of registered voters. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Polymarket

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on October 25, 2026, with a second round on November 1, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than half of the valid votes in the first round, or if a candidate secures more than half of the valid votes but voter turnout is not more than half of registered voters. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds suggest a high probability that a candidate will win outright in the first round of the Bulgarian presidential election. This contrasts with typical polling data, which often shows a more fragmented electorate and a higher likelihood of a runoff. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect not just who people *say* they will vote for, but who they are willing to put money on. This market provides a different signal than traditional polls, incorporating a wider range of information and incentives.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on official election results released by the Bulgarian Central Election Commission, determining whether any candidate secured a majority of the votes cast in the first round. The final result will be assessed against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events.