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Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket

Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Oct 26, 2026, 8:00 PM EST - Nov 4, 2026, 5:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$965
Volume 24h:
$696N/A
Liquidity:
$273
47%
Open interest:
$459N/A

Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?

 - Polymarket

Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings? - Polymarket

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Resolves Nov 4, 2026

Time left: 01d:21h:39m

Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?

26%chance
Amount

$

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At 33¢ buys you 303 shares | Odds: 26% Total Payout: $303 | Net Profit: $203 Multiplier: 3.03x | ROI: 203% APY not meaningful Low liquidity
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Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings?

Trade
26%
25%
Yes 33¢No 81¢
14¢
$273
$965
260%
N/A
N/A
1d 21h 39m
Active
Total markets: 1

Description

As of market creation, Amplitude is estimated to release earnings on November 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Amplitude’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.03 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amplitude reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.03 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Amplitude releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Polymarket

As of market creation, Amplitude is estimated to release earnings on November 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Amplitude’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.03 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amplitude reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.03 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Amplitude releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amplitude earnings market tracks the current odds of Amplitude beating quarterly earnings expectations, as well as the price history of the market. You can also view the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $696. The total volume traded on this market is $965. This information allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Amplitude’s financial performance. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the crowd is predicting the outcome of this event.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts for Amplitude’s earnings. While analysts typically provide point estimates or ranges, this market represents the collective judgment of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the company’s performance. It's important to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion on whether Amplitude will beat earnings, as each provides a unique signal.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Amplitude will beat quarterly earnings. The price of a share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that if more traders believe Amplitude will beat earnings, the price of 'yes' shares will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on whether Amplitude’s reported earnings per share (EPS) exceed the consensus estimate provided by financial analysts prior to the earnings release. The final price of shares in this market will then reflect whether the outcome was a 'yes' (Amplitude beat earnings) or a 'no' (Amplitude did not beat earnings). Traders will be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions after the resolution is finalized.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news related to Amplitude’s business performance, such as pre-earnings announcements, updates on key metrics, or changes in market conditions within the software industry, could influence trader sentiment. Analyst upgrades or downgrades, as well as broader economic indicators, could also play a role. Unexpected news about competitors or significant shifts in investor confidence could also impact the price of shares in this market, leading to increased volatility and trading volume.