TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 5 above …?
opinion

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 5 above …?

Volume:
$83

280

 - Opinion

280 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 11:03 PM EST

opinion

Opinion

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

280

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

220

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

225

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

230

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

235

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

240

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

245

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

250

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

255

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

260

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
opinion

265

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

270

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
opinion

275

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Amazon (AMZN) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.

Opinion

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official "Close" price for Amazon (AMZN) on the trading day specified in the title is strictly higher than the price specified in the title. A "Close" exactly equal to the specified price resolves to "No". If the market is not open on the specified day (exchange holiday or unscheduled closure), or Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during that day's regular session, this market resolves 50-50 — each side is paid at half value; this is not a refund. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Amazon (AMZN), this market resolves on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in the title is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/ under "Historical Prices". If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Amazon (AMZN) trades governs.

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the Amazon stock market tracks the current odds of the stock finishing the week of October 5 above a certain price. You’ll find a price chart displaying how the implied probabilities have shifted over time, alongside the total volume traded – currently $83 – and the 24-hour volume, which is $0. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to Amazon’s stock performance. The dashboard provides a clear visualization of how participants are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes.

Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a different outlook than some traditional analyst forecasts for Amazon. While many analysts maintain a positive long-term view of the company, the prediction market reflects a more nuanced perspective on short-term price movements. This difference can stem from the prediction market’s ability to incorporate a wider range of information and real-time data, as well as the incentive structure for participants to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s important to remember that both prediction markets and analyst forecasts are tools for assessing future events, each with their own strengths and weaknesses.

This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the final trading day of the week of October 5 will be compared against the market’s target price. The resolution will be based on publicly available financial data from a recognized source, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual stock performance during that period.

Several factors could significantly influence this market before it resolves. Major news events related to Amazon, such as earnings reports, product launches, or significant changes in company leadership, could all cause price fluctuations. Broader economic indicators, like inflation data or interest rate decisions, could also impact investor sentiment towards Amazon and, consequently, the market. Unexpected developments in the technology sector or shifts in consumer spending patterns are additional catalysts to watch. Any substantial news impacting the overall stock market could also move this market.