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$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

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4,612

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5

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Will Amazon (AMZN) close above ___ end of October?
polymarket

Will Amazon close above its price by October 30, 2026?

Volume:
$3,979

$240

 - Polymarket

$240 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 4:51 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$240

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$190

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$155
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$154
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$200

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$1,785
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$210

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$220

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$290

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,295
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$310

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,126
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$300

View
0%
48%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$385
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$280

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$89
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$70
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$270

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AMZN%2FUSD.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Amazon stock price market tracks the current odds of Amazon (AMZN) closing above a specified price by the end of October. You’ll find a price chart displaying how the market has priced this outcome over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $897. Total volume traded on this market is $3,979. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the probability of this event, offering valuable insight into market sentiment surrounding Amazon’s stock performance.

Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective assessment of Amazon’s potential stock performance, which may differ from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts often provide price targets based on fundamental and technical analysis, this market represents a weighted average of opinions from a diverse group of traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets incorporate a broader range of information and potential catalysts, including sentiment and unforeseen events, that may not be fully captured in standard financial models. This allows for a dynamic comparison of expectations.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Amazon will close above the target price. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. This creates a dynamic and efficient way to gauge market expectations regarding Amazon’s stock trajectory.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the closing price of Amazon (AMZN) stock on the final trading day of October is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will determine if Amazon’s stock price closed above or below the specified threshold on that date. Resolution will be based on publicly available data from established financial exchanges, ensuring transparency and accuracy in determining the market’s outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified result.

Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to Oct 30, 2026. Major catalysts include Amazon’s quarterly earnings reports, any significant news regarding its cloud computing business (AWS), and broader macroeconomic trends affecting the technology sector. Unexpected announcements about new product launches, regulatory changes impacting Amazon, or shifts in consumer spending habits could also drive price movement. Furthermore, general market sentiment and overall economic conditions will play a role in shaping trader expectations and influencing the price of shares in this market.