TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
WI-03 House Election Winner
⌛Ending Soon
opinion

Who will win the WI-03 House election?

Oct 19, 2026, 10:22 PM EST - Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
N/AN/A

Derrick Van Orden (R)

 - Opinion

Derrick Van Orden (R) - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

Time left: 01d:02h:32m

Derrick Van Orden (R)

14%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 14¢ buys you 714 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $714 | Net Profit: $614 Multiplier: 7.14x | ROI: 614% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Derrick Van Orden (R)

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 32m
Active
opinion

Rebecca Cooke (D)

Trade
N/A
N/A
7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 2h 32m
Active
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Frequently asked questions

On Opinion, the dashboard for the WI-03 House election tracks the implied probability of different outcomes, the price history of contracts representing those outcomes, and the 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the volume is $0 and the total volume is $0. You can see how traders are pricing the potential winner and observe shifts in sentiment over time. This allows for a real-time view of expectations surrounding the election, distinct from traditional polling data.

Currently, the odds on Opinion for this market suggest a different outlook than recent polling data. While polls indicate a competitive race in the WI-03 House election, the trading volume of $0 shows a clear preference for one candidate. It’s important to remember that prediction markets reflect not just who people *say* they will vote for, but who they are willing to put money on. This difference can stem from factors polls may not capture, such as voter turnout expectations or the influence of late-breaking events. This market provides a unique perspective, aggregating the informed opinions of many individuals.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results certified by election authorities for the WI-03 House election. The candidate who receives the most votes in the official count will be declared the winner, and that outcome will determine the settlement of all contracts within this market. Traders should monitor news sources for official announcements regarding the election results.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news developments related to the candidates, such as policy announcements, campaign finance reports, or significant endorsements, could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or national political trends could also influence the perceived likelihood of each candidate’s success. Furthermore, any polling data released between now and Nov 4, 2026 will likely be closely watched by traders and could lead to price adjustments in this market. A debate performance or a scandal could also cause substantial shifts.