TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Who will Trump speak to in September?
polymarket
kalshi

Who will Trump speak to in September?

Volume:
$332,306

Mark Carney

 - Polymarket

Mark Carney - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 3:53 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mark Carney

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Benjamin Netanyahu

View
100%
95%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,392
N/A
N/A
$8,899
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Xi Jinping

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Xi Jinping

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,797
N/A
N/A
$1,244
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ahmed al-Sharaa

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ahmed al-Sharaa

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,000
N/A
N/A
$5,389
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Kevin Warsh

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$14,902
N/A
N/A
$4,959
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Elon Musk

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$13,292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Greg Abbott

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,227
N/A
N/A
$7,014
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vladimir Putin

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,841
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sam Altman

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,754
N/A
N/A
$5,762
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mohammed bin Salman

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Andy Burnham

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,546
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Emmanuel Macron

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Emmanuel Macron

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,247
N/A
N/A
$724
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elon Musk

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,923
N/A
N/A
$3,903
Settled
Yes
kalshi

António Guterres

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,660
N/A
N/A
$3,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mark Carney

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,125
N/A
N/A
$2,309
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Delcy Rodríguez

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,068
N/A
N/A
$2,815
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Friedrich Merz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,710
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,680
N/A
N/A
$3,719
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,180
N/A
N/A
$3,948
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mohammed bin Salman

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,026
N/A
N/A
$3,953
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Vladimir Putin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,002
N/A
N/A
$2,737
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 47

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Donald Trump having a verbal conversation with specific individuals during September 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Donald Trump speaking with Mark Rutte in September is 2.6%, while the probability of a conversation with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is 2.5%. This prediction aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on credible media reporting, with potential consideration of statements from the individuals involved or their representatives. Keep an eye on the end of September 2026, as the market will resolve based on whether any qualifying conversations occurred by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets lack a firm resolution deadline, while Polymarket has a strict three-day window after September 30th, potentially leading to different outcomes even if a conversation occurred.Hero tip: Consider the potential for delayed reporting when trading on Kalshi. Polymarket's quicker resolution timeline may offer faster payouts but also a higher risk of 'No' resolutions due to reporting delays.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if a verbal interaction occurs between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Resolution is finalized by the third calendar day following the timeframe, regardless of later confirmation. Uses credible media or direct statements as sources.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if a meeting (including phone calls) occurs in September 2026. No specific resolution deadline is stated beyond the end of the month. Relies on confirmation of a meeting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered. Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question. This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe. If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

Kalshi

The event resolves to 'Yes' if Donald Trump engages in any direct communication — defined as an in-person meeting or a phone call — with any one of the 24 listed individuals during the entire month of September 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific individual, and a single confirmed interaction with any of them is sufficient for the overall resolution. No specific conditions beyond the occurrence of the communication are required; the nature or context of the interaction does not affect the outcome. If no such communication occurs with any of the listed individuals throughout the month, the event resolves to 'No.'

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, the Trump speaking engagements market dashboard aggregates real-time predictions about who Donald Trump will speak with in September. Currently, this market shows a strong consensus view, with a total volume of $332,306 and 24-hour volume reaching $18,162. The dashboard tracks probabilities across both platforms, providing a comprehensive overview of where traders are placing their bets. This allows for a clear understanding of the collective wisdom regarding potential speaking engagements, offering a unique perspective beyond traditional media coverage of the Trump speaking engagements market.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what individuals are *willing to put their money on*. This can reveal a more honest assessment of likely outcomes, as traders have a financial incentive to be accurate. Polling data can be influenced by social desirability bias or sampling errors, whereas the price action in this market is driven by informed speculation and the aggregation of diverse viewpoints. It’s important to note that neither is perfect, but both provide valuable insights when evaluating potential scenarios.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any official announcements regarding potential meetings or conversations involving Donald Trump would be a major catalyst. Unexpected geopolitical events or shifts in political alliances could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, statements from individuals who may be potential interlocutors, or leaks suggesting planned interactions, could drive price movements. Increased media coverage focusing on Trump's schedule and potential engagements would likely increase volume and volatility in this market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.