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Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?
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Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?

Sep 28, 2026, 7:53 PM EST - Nov 2, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$9,249
Volume 24h:
$1,067
3,578%
Liquidity:
$32,754
0.92%
Open interest:
$2,859N/A

Nobody

 - Polymarket

Nobody - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 21h:18m:37s

Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?

98%chance
Amount

$

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Trade on Polymarket

At 99.2¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 98% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 0.8% High Projected APY: N/A
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Nobody

Trade
98%
Yes 99.2¢No 4.1¢
3.3¢
$10,666
$5,810
18%
45%
N/A
21h 18m
Active
polymarket

James Talarico

3%
1%
Yes 4.6¢No 99.1¢
3.7¢
$10,894
$1,314
14%
33%
N/A
21h 18m
Active
polymarket

Ken Paxton

2%
3%
Yes 3.9¢No 99.7¢
3.6¢
$11,195
$2,125
1%
19%
N/A
21h 18m
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race. If John Cornyn does not announce an endorsement by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Cornyn and his representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting on Conryn's endorsement may also be used.

Polymarket

The 2026 Midterm election for the United States Senate is scheduled to occur on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate John Cornyn endorses in that election. An endorsement is defined as a public statement expressing definitive support for a candidate in a race. The statement must be made publicly (including through press releases, interviews, speeches, social media, campaign events, or other public communications) and must clearly identify the candidate and be made in the context of the race. If John Cornyn does not announce an endorsement by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Nobody". The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Cornyn and his representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting on Conryn's endorsement may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Texas Senate endorsement market tracks the current odds of various outcomes regarding who John Cornyn will endorse, along with a price history showing how those odds have changed over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $1,087, and the total volume traded to date, which is $9,249. This provides a real-time view of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting as new information emerges. The dashboard is a key tool for understanding the collective prediction on this event.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls attempt to capture a snapshot of current voter intentions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, representing what traders believe will *actually* happen. Discrepancies can arise due to factors polls may not fully account for, such as strategic voting, voter turnout, or unforeseen events. It's important to remember that both polls and prediction markets have their limitations, and neither is a perfect predictor of the future. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive understanding of the race.

This market resolves around Nov 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether John Cornyn publicly endorses a candidate in the Texas Senate election, or if he does not endorse anyone. The market will determine the winning outcome based on what is widely reported by reputable news sources following the election. The resolution process focuses on verifying the publicly stated endorsement, or lack thereof, from Senator Cornyn.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any public statements from John Cornyn regarding the Texas Senate race, even if not a formal endorsement, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major campaign developments for the leading candidates, such as significant fundraising announcements or policy shifts, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected political endorsements from other influential figures in Texas, or shifts in broader political sentiment, could also influence the market. Finally, any news regarding Cornyn’s health or political future could also move this market.