TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Jared Golden
- Kalshi
Jared Golden - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 16h:13m:31s
Will Jared Golden endorse Susan Collins in the 2026 Maine Senate election before Nov 3, 2026?
$
Description
This event tracks whether any of six specified political figures will publicly endorse Susan Collins during her 2026 Maine Senate campaign. An endorsement must be a clear, affirmative statement of support made through public channels or official accounts, specifically referencing the race or clearly in its context.
Kalshi
An endorsement qualifying for this event must meet strict criteria: it requires a clear, affirmative statement of support for Susan Collins' election in the 2026 Maine Senate race. The endorsement must be public rather than private, and must either specifically reference the race or be clearly made in the context of the race. Statements must originate directly from the person or through their official channels to count. Mere positive comments, policy endorsements unaccompanied by nominee endorsement, or conditional endorsements do not qualify. Social media endorsements are valid only from verified accounts; likes and retweets alone are insufficient, though quote tweets that include additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes are excluded. The market resolves to Yes if any of the six specified individuals meets these endorsement criteria before November 3, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls attempt to gauge stated preferences, this market aggregates informed speculation about likely events. It’s common to see discrepancies, as prediction markets can incorporate information not captured in polls, such as strategic considerations or behind-the-scenes negotiations. This market, like others, can sometimes anticipate events before they are reflected in public opinion surveys, or offer a more nuanced view of probabilities than a simple “yes/no” poll can provide.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether an individual publicly endorses Senator Susan Collins for her Senate seat in Maine before that date. An endorsement is defined as a public statement of support, which could take the form of a press release, social media post, or public appearance. The outcome will be determined by reviewing publicly available information to verify any endorsements made.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any public statements from potential endorsers, or news reports suggesting an impending endorsement, would likely cause price shifts. Major political events, such as changes in party leadership or significant policy announcements, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, any developments in Senator Collins’ campaign or her standing in the polls could impact the perceived likelihood of different endorsements. Unexpected endorsements from high-profile figures would likely cause the most dramatic movements in this market.
