TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 12:35 PM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks which company, if any, will ultimately acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses. Currently, Polymarket gives a 99.4% probability to Paramount closing the Warner Bros acquisition, while the market assigns a 0.3% probability to no listed company completing the acquisition by June 30, 2027. Resolution will be determined by a consensus of reporting on the first entity to gain control, as defined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on developments surrounding the Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses, as announcements of finalized arrangements will be key to resolution before the June 30, 2027 deadline.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify. Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify. If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds suggest a strong likelihood of a particular outcome for the Warner Bros. acquisition deal. However, it's important to consider how this compares to public opinion polls and expert analyses. While polls capture stated preferences, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *risk* on, potentially revealing more genuine beliefs. Discrepancies between this market and polling data can arise due to information asymmetry, biases in polling methodologies, or differing levels of expertise among participants. It’s valuable to examine both sources to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations surrounding the deal.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which entity, if any, successfully completes the acquisition of Warner Bros., as officially announced through regulatory filings and widely reported by reputable news sources. The specific details of the closing—the acquiring entity and the final terms of the deal—will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders should monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for updates on the acquisition process.
Several key signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any official announcements regarding the acquisition process, such as regulatory approvals, potential roadblocks, or changes in deal terms, would likely cause price fluctuations. Major news reports detailing the financial health of potential acquirers or Warner Bros. itself could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected economic shifts or changes in the media landscape could also play a role. Furthermore, any statements from key stakeholders involved in the deal could move this market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.
