TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 4:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The White House will have a Press Secretary position that may be filled by a new appointee at some point following the issuance of this event.
Resolution is based on who actually assumes the office of White House Press Secretary, not who is elected or nominated. Acting or interim appointments count as holding the position if they formally assume the office. If the same person continues in office through January 21, 2029, all markets referring to a specific person resolve to No, and the 'No new person' outcome resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each potential Press Secretary. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of that candidate's probability of winning. As more traders participate, the prices converge to reflect the most up-to-date information and expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Jan 21, 2029, with the outcome confirmed once the next White House Press Secretary is officially announced and the appointment is verifiable from credible public reporting. The individual formally designated to the role by the President will determine the resolution of this market. The resolution will be based on official announcements and widely accepted news sources, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Any public statements from Donald Trump regarding potential candidates, key staff changes within his orbit, or major news events impacting his administration could all cause substantial price movement. Unexpected endorsements, leaks about internal deliberations, or even shifts in the political landscape could also influence traders' perceptions and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring these developments closely is key to understanding the dynamics of the Trump Press Secretary market.