TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
ActBlue tracks political donations and displays weekly fundraising leaders. Determining the top fundraiser involves checking their official directory for the leftmost name on the specified date and time.
Kalshi
If James Talarico is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If Amy Acton is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If Abdul El-Sayed is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sherrod Brown is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gina Hinojosa is the top ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 30 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls attempt to gauge stated voter preference, this market represents where people are putting their money. This can be a significant distinction, as financial incentives can reveal underlying beliefs that individuals might not express in a poll. Discrepancies between this market and polling averages can arise from factors like strategic voting, information asymmetry, or a more accurate assessment of fundraising potential. It's important to consider both sources of information when evaluating the likely outcome of the ActBlue fundraising race.
This market resolves around Jan 28, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the individual who has raised the most money through ActBlue by October 30, 2026, will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from ActBlue and verified against credible public sources. The final settlement will reflect the official fundraising totals as reported by ActBlue, providing a clear and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements of candidates, shifts in the political landscape, and significant fundraising announcements would all likely cause price movements. Unexpected economic events or changes in campaign strategy could also play a role. Furthermore, any news regarding ActBlue itself, such as changes to its platform or policies, could influence trading activity. The closer we get to Jan 28, 2027, the more sensitive this market will become to new information and developments in the political fundraising environment.
