TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks political fundraising performance on a specific platform for a set date and time. It focuses on identifying which individual will rank second in contributions collected through the platform during the specified period, reflecting public support and campaign momentum.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on ActBlue’s official "Top fundraisers from this week" list displayed on its directory page at exactly 10:00 AM ET on October 30, 2026. The candidate positioned farthest to the left is deemed the top fundraiser, while the candidate immediately to its right is considered the second-highest fundraiser. Any market where the named individual appears in that second position at the specified time resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with ActBlue, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional polling data for this event. While polls attempt to gauge stated preferences, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *invest* in a particular outcome. This difference can lead to divergences, particularly when considering factors like donor enthusiasm or the perceived electability of candidates. It's important to remember that polls and prediction markets capture different types of information, and both can provide valuable insights into the dynamics of the ActBlue fundraising race.
This market resolves around Jan 28, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the individual who ranks second in total funds raised through ActBlue as of October 30, 2026, will be considered the winning outcome. The determination will be based on publicly available ActBlue fundraising totals, ensuring transparency and objectivity in the resolution process. Traders should monitor official ActBlue reports as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements, shifts in campaign strategy, and unexpected fundraising announcements from key candidates would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in the overall political landscape, such as significant national or local events, could also influence donor behavior and, consequently, the market. Furthermore, any news regarding ActBlue itself, such as policy changes or technical issues, could introduce volatility. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on movements in this market.
