TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks political fundraising performance on a specific platform for a set date and time. It focuses on identifying which candidate achieves the second-highest amount of donations during the specified period, reflecting public support and campaign momentum.
Kalshi
The event determines the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser as of October 23, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Rankings are based on the “Top fundraisers from this week” list published on ActBlue’s official directory page. The candidate positioned immediately to the right of the top fundraiser on this list is deemed the second-highest. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate, resolving to 'Yes' if that candidate occupies the second position. All markets operate independently, with no affiliation between Kalshi and ActBlue, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional analyst forecasts, as there isn’t a widespread consensus on who will be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser in 2026. However, the market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, incorporating publicly available information and their own assessments of each candidate’s fundraising potential. Discrepancies between this market and polls or expert opinions could arise from differing assumptions about voter turnout, campaign strategies, or the effectiveness of online fundraising efforts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a particular candidate will be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as traders respond to new information and shift their positions, creating a real-time assessment of the fundraising landscape.
This market resolves around Jan 21, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the platform will look to official ActBlue fundraising totals released after the specified date to determine which candidate secured the second-highest amount. The outcome will be based on the total funds raised by each candidate through the ActBlue platform by the end of the day on October 23, 2026, as reported by ActBlue itself.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements of candidates, significant fundraising announcements from campaigns, or changes in the overall political climate could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected events, such as a prominent candidate dropping out of the race or a major scandal, could also lead to substantial price movements. Additionally, any news regarding ActBlue’s policies or fundraising practices could influence how traders evaluate the potential of different candidates in this market.
