TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 2:53 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks who will assume a key administrative role within the executive branch over the next few years. The outcome depends on formal appointments to a specific position, excluding temporary assignments. It reflects potential shifts in policy influence and leadership within government operations.
Kalshi
The event determines who will first formally hold the position of White House Director of Legislative Affairs in a permanent, confirmed capacity before January 1, 2027, after the market issuance. Only individuals who are named subjects in the market can win; any other person, or no new permanent appointee, results in the 'No new Director of Legislative Affairs' outcome. Acting, interim, or temporary holders do not satisfy the criteria unless later confirmed permanently before the deadline, in which case their respective market would resolve instead. The holder of the position at the time of issuance is excluded from consideration. The resolution hinges solely on the first permanent appointment among the listed subjects before the specified date.
Frequently asked questions
This market resolves around Jan 5, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the appointment is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination hinges on an official White House announcement naming the next director, after which Kalshi will settle based on that verified information.
Key signals include White House press briefings mentioning candidates, Senate confirmation hearings, resignation of the current director, or policy shifts that prioritize legislative coordination. Media speculation linking specific staffers to the role can also shift trader sentiment, especially if accompanied by background reporting on lobbying ties or prior congressional relationships.
