TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
200+
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200+ - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 6, 2026
Closed: Oct 6, 1:03 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 29, 12:00 PM ET and October 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 29, 12:00 PM ET and October 6, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcome ranges for the White House posting rate. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The current top outcome, as indicated by share prices, is not yet clearly defined, but traders are actively adjusting their positions based on available information.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by the White House on X between September 29 and October 6, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be sourced from publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity. The market will then settle based on which outcome range – defined by the number of posts – the actual count falls into. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome range will receive a payout proportional to their shareholding.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major political developments, such as a significant policy announcement or a crisis situation, could lead to increased or decreased White House communication. Changes in the White House’s social media strategy, or the emergence of a competing platform, could also influence the posting rate. Unexpected events, like a major natural disaster or international conflict, might divert attention and resources, affecting the number of posts. Any news related to the President’s schedule or communication team could also move this market.
