TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Politics
White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
polymarket

White House # posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Volume:
$19,037

200+

 - Polymarket

200+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 15, 2026

Closed: Oct 15, 10:43 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

200+

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180-199

0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,332
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,446
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$318
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 9, 12:00 PM ET and October 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling data, as polls focusing on the specific number of White House posts are unavailable. However, prediction markets often incorporate information beyond what polls capture, such as expert opinions and real-time events. This can lead to differences between prediction market probabilities and polling averages, especially when dealing with niche or forward-looking questions. The market reflects collective wisdom about the likelihood of various post counts, potentially factoring in the political climate and planned events during that period.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic view of expectations. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if the specified number of posts is made by the White House.

This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of official posts published by the White House on its official social media accounts (X, Facebook, Instagram, etc.) between October 9 and October 16, 2026, will be tallied. The outcome will be based on a publicly available count of these posts, ensuring transparency and objectivity. This market reflects the anticipation of the White House’s communication strategy during that specific timeframe.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major political events, such as significant legislative actions or international crises, could influence the White House’s communication strategy and the frequency of posts. Unexpected announcements from the President or key administration officials could also drive activity. Changes in the political climate, reflected in approval ratings or media coverage, might also shift traders’ expectations. Furthermore, any indication of a planned communications push or a deliberate slowdown in posting activity could lead to substantial movement in this market.