TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling averages, as polls focusing on the *number* of White House posts during a specific week are not commonly conducted. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information than polls, including news events, expert opinions, and real-time sentiment analysis. This can lead to differences between prediction market probabilities and those suggested by polls, particularly when dealing with nuanced or unconventional questions like the one addressed in this market. The market reflects what traders believe will happen, not necessarily what people *say* will happen.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of official posts published by the White House on its official social media accounts (X, Facebook, Instagram, etc.) between October 6 and October 13, 2026, will be counted to determine the winning outcome. The exact count will be verified against publicly available data from the White House’s official channels, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major policy announcements from the White House, significant geopolitical events, or unexpected changes in the political landscape could all influence trader sentiment. A shift in the White House’s communication strategy, such as a greater or lesser emphasis on social media, would also be a key driver. Furthermore, any news regarding the President’s schedule or public appearances during that week could impact predictions about the volume of posts, as these events often generate increased communication from the White House.
