TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 5:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling data, as polls focusing on the *number* of White House posts are not commonly conducted. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information than polls, including news events, social media sentiment, and expert analysis. This can lead to differences between prediction market probabilities and polling averages, especially when dealing with less frequently polled topics. This market reflects a collective forecast based on traders’ assessments of these factors.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of posts made by the official White House social media accounts (X, formerly Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Threads) between October 13 and October 20, 2026, will be counted to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Major political events, such as significant policy announcements or shifts in the presidential approval rating, could impact the anticipated level of White House communication. Unexpected crises or international developments might also lead to increased or decreased posting activity. Furthermore, changes in the White House’s social media strategy or the appointment of a new communications director could all move this market. Any news related to the President’s public schedule or planned events could also be a key signal.