TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$185,665,189

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,833,875,329

407,365

Markets across

40,470

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,365

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Politics
White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?
polymarket

White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

Volume:
$13,273

200+

 - Polymarket

200+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 19, 5:23 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

200+

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180-199

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$518
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$292
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between October 13, 12:00 PM ET and October 20, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the White House posts market displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how traders are pricing the likelihood of different numbers of posts from the White House between October 13 and October 20, 2026. The 24-hour volume indicates how much trading activity has occurred recently, while the price history shows how the market has evolved over time. Currently, the volume is $1,823 and the total volume is $13,273.

Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to traditional polling data, as polls focusing on the *number* of White House posts are not commonly conducted. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information than polls, including news events, social media sentiment, and expert analysis. This can lead to differences between prediction market probabilities and polling averages, especially when dealing with less frequently polled topics. This market reflects a collective forecast based on traders’ assessments of these factors.

This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of posts made by the official White House social media accounts (X, formerly Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Threads) between October 13 and October 20, 2026, will be counted to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data and will be verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and objective determination.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Major political events, such as significant policy announcements or shifts in the presidential approval rating, could impact the anticipated level of White House communication. Unexpected crises or international developments might also lead to increased or decreased posting activity. Furthermore, changes in the White House’s social media strategy or the appointment of a new communications director could all move this market. Any news related to the President’s public schedule or planned events could also be a key signal.