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MATCHED EVENTS:
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Republicans
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Republicans - Polymarket
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 6, 2026
Time left: 03d:20h:04m
Will Republicans win white voters in the Texas Senate election?
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Description
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the exit polling for the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Polymarket
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white voters in the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the exit polling for the 2026 United States Senate election in Texas, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds suggest a strong likelihood of one party winning the white vote in the Texas Senate election. It's important to compare this to polling data, which may show different levels of support for each party among white voters. Polls capture a snapshot in time, while this market reflects a continuous assessment of probabilities based on a wide range of information, including polls, expert analysis, and real-world events. Discrepancies can arise due to differing methodologies and the dynamic nature of prediction markets.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winning party among white voters in the Texas Senate election will be determined by the official election results. The outcome will be based on exit polls and official vote counts, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution. Traders will be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final, confirmed results of the election.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major shifts in polling data regarding white voter preferences would certainly move the odds. Unexpected endorsements from influential figures, significant campaign events, or breaking news stories related to the candidates could also cause fluctuations. Economic developments or national political trends that specifically resonate with white voters in Texas are also potential catalysts. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely outcome could lead to changes in trading activity and, therefore, the price of shares in this market.
