TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
polymarket

Which company has the third best AI model end of March?

Volume:
$543,246

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 31, 2026

Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$63,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,856
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,214
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,744
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

xAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the third best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.