TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
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Companies
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?
polymarket

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

Volume:
$48,059

OpenAI

 - Polymarket

OpenAI - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

OpenAI

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Google

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft AI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,120
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Black Forest Labs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ideogram

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,358
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Recraft

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Luma AI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Reve

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$936
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Text-to-Image AI leader market on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,015. It shows how traders are positioning on which company will lead the Text-to-Image AI leader market by Oct 31, 2026, reflecting market sentiment and liquidity through $48,059 in total volume.

This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the company most widely recognized as the leader in the Text-to-Image AI space by that date, based on measurable industry metrics and public announcements.