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Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
polymarket

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Volume:
$74,049

Other

 - Polymarket

Other - Polymarket

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 2:03 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Other

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$29,860
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,256
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,152
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tencent

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,025
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceXAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,666
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

StepFun

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,432
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,162
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,141
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MiniMax

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nvidia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$742
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Thinky

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$617
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the AI math model leaderboard market, along with 24-hour volume of $770. It shows how traders are betting on which company will lead LiveBench’s Mathematics leaderboard by the end of October. The interface updates in real time, reflecting shifts in market sentiment as new information emerges about model performance and benchmarking results.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the LiveBench Mathematics leaderboard results for end of October are verified against credible public sources. The final ranking will determine the winning company based on publicly released metrics, and the market will close shortly after the data is irreversibly public. No further trading occurs after verification.

Key events that could shift this market include major benchmark updates, announcements about model architecture improvements, release of research papers showing higher accuracy, or partnerships that accelerate deployment. Any signal suggesting a company is ahead on the LiveBench Mathematics leaderboard — even preliminary test results — may cause rapid price changes. Traders will also watch for statements from leading AI labs about upcoming updates or changes to training data that could affect performance metrics before the Nov 1, 2026 cutoff.