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Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
polymarket

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Volume:
$37,056

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 31, 2026

Closed: Oct 31, 2:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

OpenAI

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,485
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SpaceXAI

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,044
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$507
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Nvidia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

MiniMax

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$494
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Xiaomi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$468
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Thinky

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Amazon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$410
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$364
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$363
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

StepFun

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Tencent

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Description

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the AI coding leader market on Polymarket tracks real-time odds, price movements, and 24-hour volume of $2,192. It shows how traders are betting on which company will lead in AI coding benchmarks by the end of October. This single-venue view updates continuously, reflecting market sentiment and recent performance data from participants.

Currently, this market’s odds reflect a trader consensus that diverges from many analyst forecasts. While some research houses highlight different strengths, the betting percentages here emphasize recent benchmark results and momentum. Traders appear to weight recent live performance more heavily than long-term projections, creating a noticeable gap between market prices and traditional equity analyst ratings.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the company declared the leader in the LiveBench coding evaluation by independent benchmark results, ensuring an objective and transparent close based on widely available data.

Key signals include major benchmark updates, new model releases, or high-profile competition results. Any announcement from leading tech firms about product launches or research breakthroughs could shift trader sentiment quickly. Media coverage of performance tests and analyst commentary will also heavily influence this market’s odds as the October deadline approaches.