TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Science and Technology
Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)
polymarket

Which company has the #3 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Volume:
$209,429

Google

 - Polymarket

Google - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 28, 2026

Closed: Feb 27, 7:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Google

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$45,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

xAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Anthropic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,717
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,405
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,355
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,492
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company J

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company L

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company G

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company H

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company K

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company I

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company E

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company M

N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25

Description

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the third-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.